A new season, a new special computer crunching the numbers to determine the final Premier League positions for 2016/17.
Fans who want to watch the Euro Club Index’s final results after each matchday can do so by clicking here.
Who goes down?! Who is the current favourite to lift the title this year.
Well you don’t have to guess, the link above will tell you, as will looking further down this piece.
With 17 games played in the Premier League season of 2016/17, the current favourite to lift the title by 66.1% are the current leaders – Chelsea.
The computer currently has them remaining in top spot, ahead of Manchester City, Arsenal and Liverpool with a predicted points total of 84. Seven points clear of second placed City who are one ahead of Arsenal and four ahead of Liverpool. Tottenham take fifth place (goal difference?) ahead of Manchester United but neither side makes it above 70 points for the year.
What a difference six games can make!
The three sides currently predicted for the drop are Swansea City on 35, Sunderland on 34 and Hull City in bottom place on 33 estimated points for the campaign.
With 17 games gone this year there is no fairytale repeat given Leicester City’s entirely unexpected success last season, and other sides like Chelsea hugely falling away based on their own expectations – and the top six now contains the clubs you would naturally expect there but maybe not entirely in the order you’d expect.
Looking seventh place and down the table it’s also taking on a more expected appearance but Leicester’s real away form seems to be boosted by last year’s exploits in the table whilst West Bromwich Albion’s good start to the year is being recognised clearly.
The one thing that can’t be denied at the almost half way stage is a number of clubs will now be very disappointed with where they find themselves, but others will be happier with a steady or better start half to the season – obviously there’s a long way to go yet, and some of the trailing pack will be hoping to draw themselves closer to the top four spots, and clearly those nearer the bottom will have hopes of eeking more to safe midtable if nothing else.
The methodology can be found on the website via the above link.
|
Pos
|
Team
|
Matches
|
Real Points
|
Pred Points
|
Title %
|
|
1
|
Chelsea
|
17
|
43
|
84
|
66.1
|
|
2
|
Manchester City
|
17
|
36
|
77
|
13.6
|
|
3
|
Arsenal
|
17
|
34
|
76
|
9.9
|
|
4
|
Liverpool
|
17
|
37
|
73
|
7.1
|
|
5
|
Tottenham Hotspur
|
17
|
33
|
69
|
2.2
|
|
6
|
Manchester United
|
17
|
30
|
69
|
1.2
|
|
7
|
Southampton
|
17
|
24
|
56
|
0.0
|
|
8
|
Everton
|
17
|
23
|
53
|
0.0
|
|
9
|
Leicester City
|
17
|
17
|
48
|
0.0
|
|
10
|
Stoke City
|
17
|
21
|
46
|
0.0
|
|
11
|
West Bromwich Albion
|
17
|
23
|
46
|
0.0
|
|
12
|
West Ham
|
17
|
19
|
45
|
0.0
|
|
13
|
Watford
|
17
|
21
|
43
|
0.0
|
|
14
|
Bournemouth
|
17
|
21
|
42
|
0.0
|
|
15
|
Burnley
|
17
|
17
|
41
|
0.0
|
|
16
|
Middlesbrough
|
17
|
18
|
40
|
0.0
|
|
17
|
Crystal Palace
|
17
|
15
|
37
|
0.0
|
|
18
|
Swansea City
|
17
|
12
|
35
|
0.0
|
|
19
|
Sunderland
|
17
|
14
|
34
|
0.0
|
|
20
|
Hull City
|
17
|
12
|
33
|
0.0
|
