Written by Matt Stevenson
I’ve looked at the last 4 league games for Fulham (which omits the turbulent FA Cup against Man U). These were against Wolves and Arsenal at home and Brighton and Brentford away. They picked up 4 points from these games although xG suggests that this was an overachievement as only in the game against Wolves did they have a higher value, and it looked like smash and grab against Brighton. In the four games, Fulham have scored 4 goals and conceded 7, whereas xG predicted 3.17 and 7.58.
The average positions of the starting line-up indicate that the two central defenders (Diop and Ream) play deeper than the rest of the team. Against Brighton, the average position for all 11 was in their own half. In the last three games, there has been a band of players straddling the half-way line. Although given that Mitrovic and Willian will be missing, historical formations may not provide much insight.
The 4 goals have been scored by Solomon (3) and Vinicius. Although Solomon appears to be over-achieving as he has had an xG of 0.84 over these games. Pareira has 2 assists, Robinson and Vinicius have one each.
Fulham have had 36 chances (5 of them big chances) in these games with half of these chances coming from the left. They have conceded 58 chances (13 big) with the majority coming from their right flank. For reference, we have had 32 chances (7 big chances), with our threat coming down the wings (46% of chances created down the left and 36% down our right) in our last 4 games, although this was against Man C, Arsenal, Liverpool and Villa.
AFCB v FulhamAFCB WinDrawFulham Win |
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